US Election 2012

[bjmdds]

"Wreckovery" under Oh-bama.

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WEDNESDAY, DAY TWO – CONDOLEEZZA RICE, PAUL RYAN



10-11PM Coverage

FNC: 7,702,578 viewers (2,067,483 in 25-54)

NBC: 4,149,000 viewers (1,492,694 in 25-54)

ABC: 2,858,000 viewers (993,941 in 25-54)

CBS: 2,559,000 viewers (943,519 in 25-54)

MSNBC: 1,440,882 viewers (402,044 in 25-54)

CNN: 1,340,129 viewers (451,370 in 25-54) Fox rules in news ABC, CBS, and NBC are done yet not 1 commentator from the number 1 news network will moderate any of the 4 debates

[bjmdds]

Dr.No, more corruption: http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/08 ... msnbc-ads/ Can Mitt count on your vote?

[bjmdds]

“President Barack Obama, who in 2005 criticized then-President George Bush for not exhibiting a ‘greater sense of empathy’ toward the victims of Hurricane Katrina, told a campaign crowd at the University of Virginia on Wednesday afternoon [Aug. 29] — as people in Louisiana were dealing with what the National Hurricane Center called ‘life-threatening hazards’ caused by Hurricane Isaac — that he had discussed the hurricane on the telephone from Air Force One as he was flying East from a previous campaign event in Colorado.”
A series of phone calls? That’s it? Are you telling me that all George Bush had to do was make some phone calls and he wouldn’t have received any criticism?

[bjmdds]

http://www.jpost.com/Defense/Article.aspx?id=283399 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7ud3pK5Wa90

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The decline has occurred entirely among women registered voters – from 57-39 percent favorable-unfavorable in April to a numerically negative 46-50 percent now. That’s Obama’s lowest score among women voters – a focus of recent political positioning – in ABC/Post polls since he took office. Unusually, his rating among men, 50-47 percent favorable-unfavorable, is numerically better than it is among women, albeit not by a significant margin.

[bjmdds]

http://dusiznies.blogspot.com/2012/09/g ... moved.html

[Dr. No]

My feel is people are not going to be interested in the conventions this year.

On the Repubs I'll say they did a good job a over all positive theme and the kindest way I've ever seen the opposition party say throw the bums out.

Eastwoood, didn't see his unedited speech, didn't watch any of it really beside from the important speeches, Eastwood I think went on too long and I don't think as a libertarian he was too comfortable endorsing the guy he though is better cast as President back when he supported Cain, but his point was powerful and hit further then the biased press and boy were the big 3 on a band wagon. Eastwoods message about Obama being a empty chair and how we all loved him and are all disappointed I think will resonate further than so naysayers will credit. But still he look like a old man doddering with his words too many times.

I am puzzled by the changes to the DNC platform, its worrying actually.

Mrs Obama last night I think had Romney envy, Mrs Romney had a powerful story about her husband and painted him in different light , but I sort of don't by Obama rusted out Car story cause he told stories about his first car a Granada he never mention rust.

[bjmdds]

First Lady Michelle Obama took over primetime last night at the Democratic National Convention in Charlotte, North Carolina but a lot less people were watching than back in 2008. Like they had for the GOP in Tampa, ABC, NBC and CBS all broadcast an hour of the convention live and they all had double digit drops from the comparative night of the DNC on August 26, 2008. With Obama’s speech the big ticket on Day One of the DNC, it was NBC that won the night, like they had last week at the RNC. The network got a 1.3/4 rating, down 24% from 2008. ABC got a 0.7/2 out of the DNC last night, down 36% from four years ago. With a 0.6/2, CBS took the biggest hit Tuesday. The network’s DNC coverage was down 45% from the comparative night back in 2008.

[bjmdds]

http://firstread.nbcnews.com/_news/2012 ... doors?lite They could not fill it up is the real reason. Only a 30% chance of rain tomorrow night there.

[bjmdds]

http://www.mrctv.org/public/eyeblast.sw ... 085110&a=0 The true cause of the mortgage crisis worldwide is Cuomo and Clinton in 1998. Fact.

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Democrat Caddell addressed the over-sampling of Democrats in the surveys, saying, “what you have is an act of utter irresponsibility, in my opinion, by the Pew Poll and the NBC/Wall Street Journal poll.”

“They shouldn't be running these...(they) are having an effect on this election that is really bad,” Caddell said of the media outlets publishing these polls as news stories.

“The key issue in this business is integrity...here's the real issue, the explicit message in all of this is, you got to tell the truth, I don't believe that anyone doing a poll today, for whoever, could credibly release numbers that are plus 11 for the Democratic Party,” said Schoen.

Caddell said the reason for skewing the polls, “what is the effect, is it to build an artificial picture, an illusion, of great Obama momentum.”

Additionally, a Real Clear Politics article by Sean Trende shows how the latest CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac survey of swing states shows Obama leading and with 50 percent in Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania. These state surveys also over-sampled Democratic voters and in doing so skewed their results to show Obama running stronger than in other, likely more accurate surveys, conducted with more realistic sampling by voter registration.

The Washington Post/ABC news polls released last month showed the same trend of over-sampling of Democratic voters and results that favored President Obama over Mitt Romney. Critics of the polls say many of the major media sponsored and commissioned polls have been skewed in this way but the media outlets continue to report the results of these surveys.

[bjmdds]

Polling Data
Poll Date Sample MoE Obama (D) Romney (R) Spread
RCP Average 8/22 - 9/5 -- -- 46.7 46.7 Tie
Gallup (Thursday) 7-Day Tracking 3050 RV 2.0 47 46 Obama +1
Rasmussen (Thursday) 3-Day Tracking 1500 LV 3.0 44 47 Romney +3
CNN/Opinion Research 8/31 - 9/3 735 LV 3.5 48 48 Tie
Democracy Corps (D) 8/23 - 8/27 1000 LV 3.1 49 47 Obama +2
CBS News 8/22 - 8/26 1051 RV 3.0 46 45 Obama +1
ABC News/Wash Post 8/22 - 8/25 857 RV 4.0 46 47 Romney +1
Kris, your favorite site loaded up with liberal biased polls now has Romney TIED with Oh-No-bama What say yee now Kris?

[Kristatos]

Kris, your favorite site loaded up with liberal biased polls now has Romney TIED with Oh-No-bama What say yee now Kris?

The two candidates have been in a statistical dead heat for months now. Anything less than 3% is within the margin of error. So there's no real difference between the candidates being tied and Obama or Romney being 1 point ahead. And I've been saying all along that the election could go either way, you're the one who's been predicting the result with the same absolute, 100% certainty that you predicted that Hillary Clinton would launch a primary challenge to Obama after the 2010 midterms and that Hugh Jackman hosting the Oscars would be the cue for him to replace Craig as Bond, among other failed prophecies.

[bjmdds]

A dead heat on RCP with their mostly Democratically slanted polling is great news for Romney.

[bjmdds]

Dr. No, read this garbage http://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2012/03 ... n-pompeii/

[Dr. No]

Kris, your favorite site loaded up with liberal biased polls now has Romney TIED with Oh-No-bama What say yee now Kris?

The two candidates have been in a statistical dead heat for months now. Anything less than 3% is within the margin of error. So there's no real difference between the candidates being tied and Obama or Romney being 1 point ahead. And I've been saying all along that the election could go either way, you're the one who's been predicting the result with the same absolute, 100% certainty that you predicted that Hillary Clinton would launch a primary challenge to Obama after the 2010 midterms and that Hugh Jackman hosting the Oscars would be the cue for him to replace Craig as Bond, among other failed prophecies.

The polls should be getting more interesting.

Not sure if the conventions will matter much except Romeny's did a better job of challenging the status quo. Not sure what the dems were thinking when planning theirs should of stopped with Clinton although it did more to sell the idea of Bill Clinton over the reality of Obama.

[Kristatos]

Not sure if the conventions will matter much except Romeny's did a better job of challenging the status quo. Not sure what the dems were thinking when planning theirs should of stopped with Clinton although it did more to sell the idea of Bill Clinton over the reality of Obama.

It usually takes a couple of weeks for events such as conventions to have an effect on the polls. There will probably be a boost for Romney at the end of next week, one for Obama at the end of the week after, and then things will move on.

[bjmdds]

As noted, though, among likely voters – people who say they’re both registered and certain to vote – the race squeezes shut at 49-48 percent, Obama-Romney, essentially unchanged since before the conventions (+2 Romney then, +1 Obama now, well within sampling error.) That means that Romney’s supporters express greater intention to vote – a challenge for Obama’s ground game, and a suggestion that the race could come down to turnout.
Obama faces another reality: No incumbent with an approval rating below 50 percent in September of an election year has been re-elected in ABC/Post polls dating to the Reagan presidency.

[Dr. No]

I think the race is even to favoring Romney by a %.

After the first debate we'll see better numbers.