Kristatos wrote:bjmdds wrote:Rassmussen poll:In a hypothetical Election 2012 matchup, President Obama and Mitt Romney are tied at 45%. Matchup results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. Eastern. Texas Congressman Ron Paul holds a one-point edge over the president, 44% to 43%.
The last Rasmussen poll I saw had Romney leading Obama 48-44. He seems to have received a boost from becoming the de facto nominee. The most recent two polls on RCP as I write this put him ahead of Obama (by 4 and 2 percentage points respectively), after months of being behind. I guess Republican voters who supported other candidates in the primary are now rallying behind the presumptive nominee.
I think the October polls will be more telling but do I think Romney got a bump from going to possible to the Repub nominee baring any unforeseen accident. Obama had a few this week with him ahead, and some repubs were talk like Romney the "horrible person and none conservative" (so sorry guys Santorum got out. ) he is was not a leading in the head to head polls, I seem to remember any of the Republicans frontrunners leading those polls since January. off an on. I don't think the polls (about the primaries) were real accurate during the primary the pundits were all like it was hyper accurate I thought it was actually pretty poor.
Unless the poll are done under stringent conditions likely voters I don't bother with them. A few things this summer will shape up how the race will go , gas rpices, Iran Nuke or Israeli attack, supreme court obama care decision.
The supreme courts favorability went up when it looked like they were going to strike down Obamacare, I think for the general election there my be some underlying anti obama sentiment that will not be pick up on in polling just because while its in the back of people minds will not be something they mention if asked by a pollster.